Man City vs Arsenal – Carabao Cup Final Betting Tips
Get our tips for the Carabao Cup Final on Sunday. …Read More
Liverpool fans are rightly excited about the short to medium term future under their charismatic manager, Jurgen Klopp. Going forwards, the Reds are as good as any team in Europe on their day but there’s much more to winning major honours than the ability to play eye catching football.
It’s at this stage of the season, when important matches come thick and fast both domestically and on the continent, where the very best clubs separate themselves. Klopp knows all about the challenge of fighting a war on multiple fronts having guided Borussia Dortmund to domestic success and to the latter stages of the Champions League. Currently, he’s having to juggle Liverpool’s Champions League campaign with their efforts to finish inside the top four.
To help his players handle the workload, Klopp rotated his team significantly during the busy winter schedule. That allowed him to pick a very strong team for Sunday’s visit to Southampton before taking Roberto Firmino and Mo Salah off as they coasted to a 2-0 win. Porto, Liverpool’s opponents in the Champions League round of 16, also coasted to victory on Sunday. They beat Chaves 4-0 as they continue to hunt the Liga NOS title.
Klopp and his opposite number, Sérgio Conceição, may be wary about the effects of fatigue on their team but they’ll also be confident about their chances in this intriguing first leg.
Liverpool 13/10 (Sportingbet)
Porto 21/10 (Paddy Power)
Draw 13/5 (William Hill)
(Please note all odds shown are correct at time of article publishing)
Porto’s Champions League campaign started off with a surprising 3-1 home defeat against Besiktas. However, they were much more impressive in their games against RB Leipzig and Monaco at Estádio do Dragão. Porto’s home form in general is incredibly strong with 10 wins from 11 league games at the Dragāo and yet the bookies have Liverpool as the favourites.
There’s no doubt that Klopp’s team have what it takes to secure a huge away win and put one foot in the quarter finals but their price looks a little short. If you want to support Liverpool in the betting, a safer option is backing them in the To Qualify market at a best price of 2/5 with Bet365.
In terms of this match, the most attractive betting option is the 13/5 that William Hill are quoting on the draw. A stalemate, preferably with an away goal, would still be a very good result indeed for Liverpool and they have what it takes to secure just that on Wednesday night.
Draw 1-1 @ 13/2 (William Hill)
Liverpool 2-1 @ 8/1 (Coral)
Liverpool 1-0 @ 9/1 (Betfred)
Porto 1-0 @ 10/1 (Coral)
Porto 2-1 @ 10/1 (Boylesports)
Draw 0-0 @ 12/1 (Coral)
If this match is to end in a draw, it’s highly unlikely to be a goalless one. There were a total of 15 goals scored in Porto’s three home games in the group stage and the same number scored in Liverpool’s three away games. The effects of nerves and a desire to keep the tie alive for the return leg at Anfield won’t be enough to stop these two quality attacking units from firing.
The 1-1 draw is the favourite in the Correct Score market but with these two, the 2-2 scoreline looks a better bet at 14/1 with William Hill. Both sides have goalscorers all over the pitch and they should combine to produce a Champions League classic.
Mohamed Salah 5/1 (Paddy Power)
Vincent Aboubakar 11/2 (Paddy Power)
Moussa Marega 9/2 (Ladbrokes)
Tiquinho Soares 11/2 (Sportingbet)
Roberto Firmino 6/1 (Paddy Power)
Danny Ings 13/2 (William Hill)
Majeed Waris 13/2 (Coral)
Sadio Mané 8/1 (Paddy Power)
The depth of attacking talent set to take to the pitch at the Dragāo is made clear by the First Goalscorer market. Even with the loss of Philippe Coutinho to Barcelona, Liverpool have several players capable of making the difference and pushing the team towards the quarter finals and beyond. Similarly, Porto have the creative powers of Yacine Brahimi and the goalscoring prowess of Vincent Aboubakar and Moussa Marega.
Porto like to set the early tempo by getting off to a flying start but the danger is that Liverpool won’t merely match their attacking intent, they’ll be especially dangerous on the counterattack. Roberto Firmino will lead the line and make a nuisance of himself but it’s the pace, trickery and finishing ability of Mo Salah and Sadio Mané that Porto need to worry about most.
Mané has been playing second fiddle to Salah a little this season but he still has six goals to his name and the excellent Senegalese forward looks a good price to score first at 8/1 with Paddy Power.
The Draw at 13/5 with William Hill
2-2 correct score at 14/1 with William Hill
Sadio Mané to score first at 8/1 with Paddy Power