Man City vs Napoli Champions League Betting Tips

man City vs Napoli Champions League Logos

For the first time in the season, Manchester City have daylight at the top of the Premier League table. After Jose Mourinho’s Manchester United played out a bore draw at Anfield, Pep Guardiola’s team sent out a message to the rest of the league with their 7-2 dismantling of Stoke.

Anytime a team scores seven goals in the Premier League it’s going to make their manager very happy but Guardiola’s reaction to Saturday’s win was very interesting. He called the performance the best in his time at the club because they secured a handsome win “playing the way we want to play”. The praise Guardiola heaped on his players was different the the way in which he’d tried to keep expectations low over the earlier stages of the season.

The Stoke win put the rest of the Premier League on notice that Man City are very much the team to catch. On Tuesday night, Guardiola’s men can send out a similar message to the rest of Europe’s elite if they secure a big win over Napoli at the Etihad.

Napoli may have lost their opening Champions League game to Shakhtar Donetsk but that’s the only match Maurizio Sarri’s men have failed to win this season. With players like Lorenzo Insigne, José Callejòn and the rejuvenated Dries Mertens all hitting top form, Napoli will travel to Manchester believing they’ve got a chance to send out a message of their own by stopping Guardiola’s men in their tracks.

Man City players celebrate one of their seven goals against Stoke on the weekend.

Man City v Napoli Outright Betting Market

Man City 4/7 (Bet365)

Draw 17/5 (Coral)

Napoli 9/2 (Sportingbet)

This stage of the Champions League group stage always feels especially important. Whether teams have got off to the perfect start like Man City or need to improve their position like Napoli, consecutive games against the same opposition provide a great opportunity to put one foot in the knockout stage. That is especially true for these two as they’re both odds-on to qualify from Group F.

Napoli know that if they can get something out of Tuesday’s game, they’ll also be able to learn some valuable lessons which will give them the upperhand when they meet at the San Paolo at the start of November. The problem is, very few people are giving Napoli much of a chance at the Etihad.

The bookies all make Man City the odds-on favourites for Tuesday’s game while the Serie A leaders are as big at 9/2 with Sportingbet. Although Napoli are playing some excellent football in Italy, you’ve got to think that those odds are fair. They’ve never beaten a Premier League side in England and while Man City’s record against Italian clubs isn’t great, there’s never been a City side quite like this so back them to win at 4/7 with Bet365.

 

Correct Score Market

Man City 2-1 @ 8/1 (Bet365)

Draw 1-1 @ 10/1 (William Hill)

Man City 3-1 @ 10/1 (Ladbrokes)

Man City 2-0 @ 11/1 (Boylesports)

Man City 1-0 @ 12/1 (Bet365)

Draw 2-2 @ 14/1 (William Hill)

Napoli head into Tuesday’s game on the back of a 1-0 win away to Roma. That victory highlights the balance that Sarri’s side have. At the same time as having several match winners in attacking positions, they’ve conceded just five goals in Serie A so far this season.

Even with Man City firing on all cylinders, Napoli should be able to make the home side work very hard for the three points. We don’t see this as another big win for Man City and, given Napoli’s potency in attacking positions, we wouldn’t be surprised to see the Italians grab a goal. Therefore, our pick of the Correct Score options are Man City 2-1 which is 8/1 with Bet365 and Man City 3-1 at 10/1 with Ladbrokes.

 

First Goalscorer Market

Gabriel Jesus 16/5 (Paddy Power)

Sergio Aguero 16/5 (Paddy Power)

Dries Mertens 5/1 (William Hill)

Leroy Sane 11/2 (Sportingbet)

Raheem Sterling 6/1 (William Hill)

Bernardo Silva 29/4 (Sportingbet)

Kevin De Bruyne 7/1 (Paddy Power)

David Silva 9/1 (William Hill)

Bernardo Silva has only started three games since signing for Man City. Can he force his way into the team by scoring Tuesday’s first goal?

 

It’s not just Stoke who have struggled to cope with Man City in full flight this season. Their combination of creative midfielders and clinical forwards has yielded some very big wins but as we’ve already pointed out, they won’t find it easy to score against Napoli.

If Napoli do hold firm in the early stages, it won’t be the first time this season that Guardiola has had to turn to his bench in search of somebody to make the breakthrough. That could well provide us with a healthy winner in the First Goalscorer market.

Bernardo Silva has had to be content largely with a role off the bench since joining Man City in the summer but he’s showed he can be highly effective even when he doesn’t start. The Portuguese midfielder scored late on against Stoke on Saturday and he could be the man to break the deadlock on Tuesday at a very tempting 29/4 with Sportingbet.

 

Betting Recommendations

Man City to win at 4/7 with Bet365

Bernardo Silva to score first at 29/4 with Sportingbet