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Newmarket has already been the site of some world class racing this summer. Both the 1000 and 2000 Guineas were run over the Rowley Mile at the Suffolk Venue but the action doesn’t stop there as this week sees the July Festival take place.
Run over the July Course, the three day festival is set to include some of the biggest names in flat racing and of course, plenty of chances to beat the bookies.
So, we’ve gone through the early betting to bring you betting tips from our pick of the action.
Frontiersman 13/8 (William Hill)
Poet’s Word 7/2 (Bet365)
Wings Of Desire 7/2 (Betfred)
Algometer 8/1 (Betfair)
Johannes Vermeer 10/1 (Bet365)
On the face of it, Frontiersman has plenty going for him ahead of the Princess of Wales’s Stakes. Like seven of the last 10 winners, he’s four years old; he’s got strong form over 12 furlongs; and, he’d have won the Coronation Cup at Epsom were it not for the wonderful Highland Reel.
However, we think that he’ll get beaten in the feature race of day one of the July Festival.
For a start, this is not a race in which favourites have a good record. Big Orange’s back-to-back wins over the last two years at 25/1 and 8/1 respectively mean that the last decade has seen just one winning favourite. Then there’s the fact that the Godolphin owned horse was pulled out of his Royal Ascot appearance due to a bad scope.
All in all, it could pay to give Frontiersman a miss and instead back two other horses.
First up, the chances of Poet’s Word must be taken seriously at 7/2 with Bet365. There is slight cause for concern given that the four-year-old hasn’t been seen since May but Sir Michael Stoute wouldn’t have entered his horse into this race without believing he’s got a genuine chance of winning. Sir Michael has trained more winners of the Princess of Wales’s Stakes than anybody else and he could make it win number 10 with the quality Poet’s Word.
Our second tip for the race is Johannes Vermeer each-way. A 10/1 shot with Bet365, the four-year-old looked to have plenty left in the tank when winning over 10 furlongs at the Curragh last time out and if given a good ride in the early stages he could improve even more for the step up in trip.
Roly Poly 5/2 (Paddy Power)
Sea Of Grace 7/2 (Bet365)
Wuheida 9/2 (Ladbrokes)
Arabian Hope 6/1 (Boylesports)
Rain Goddess 7/1 (Bet365)
The Falmouth Stakes is a Group 1 race open only to fillies and mares aged three or older. Run since 1911, it’s a one mile test that carries a very healthy prize purse of £200,000.
Much like the Coral-Eclipse, the Falmouth Stakes allows the Classic Generation of fillies to race against their elders although last year’s winner, Alice Springs, was the first three-year-old to win in six years. Unfortunately, none of the top three in either the 1000 Guineas or the Oaks have been entered for this year’s renewal.
Still, we’ve got quality horses taking part including the bookies’ favourite, Roly Poly. The American bred three-year-old has failed to really kick on this season after impressive as a juvenile but second placed finishes behind another Aidan O’Brien horse, Winter, at both the 1000 Guineas and the Coronation Stakes constitutes good form. The question is, can she replicate that form without her stablemate in the field?
We’re not sure which makes the best price of 5/2 that Coral are quoting look a little short. A more tempting option is the intriguing Wuheida at 9/2 with Ladbrokes.
Charlie Appleby’s filly is already a Group 1 winner in France and he believes everything is going well in her attempts to bag another big win. She hasn’t been seen since that win in October but connections are quietly confident and that price may not hold out on the day of the race.
Caravaggio 5/4 (Coral)
Limato 6/1 (Paddy Power)
The Tin Man 6/1 (William Hill)
Harry Angel 7/1 (Betfair)
Tasleet 8/1 (Bet365)
The final day of the Newmarket July Festival is headlined by the always entertaining July Cup. Run over a distance of just six furlongs, this Group 1 contest is an out and out sprint open to horses aged three and older.
The only surprise with Caravaggio’s position right at the top of the betting is that the three-year-old is available at odds-against. He’s won each of his six races for trainer, Aidan O’Brien, including at the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot where he established himself as the dominant three-year-old sprinter.
The calibre of this race means that O’Brien and jockey, Ryan Moore, must ensure that pre-race preparations and the plan are carried out well if Caravaggio is to see off the challenge of the likes of Limato and Harry Angel. But, if everything goes well, the favourite will be very tough to stop at a best price of 5/4 with Coral.
Poet’s Word to win the Princess of Wales Stakes at 7/2 with Bet365
Johannes Vermeer each-way in the Princess of Wales Stakes at 10/1 with Bet365
Wuheida to win the Falmouth Stakes at 9/2 with Ladbrokes
Caravaggio to win the July Cup at 5/4 with Coral