Juventus v Barcelona Betting Tips – Champions League

Juventus and Barcelona last met in the final of the 2015 Champions League. The Catalan giants won that game 3-1 but Juventus finally have a chance for revenge in the next fortnight with their upcoming quarter final tie.

Given the pedigree of these two clubs, it’s a little surprising that they’ve only met seven times previously. Barcelona hold the slight advantage with three wins to Juventus’ two but it’s the Old Lady who are the bookmakers’ favourites for Tuesday’s match.

It’s now 21 European games unbeaten at home for Juventus (12 wins and nine draws). They’re also in very good form domestically with 10 wins from their last 12 Serie A matches.

Contrast that form with Barcelona who lost more ground in the Liga title race with a 2-0 defeat against Malaga on the weekend and who have lost half of their four away games in the current Champions League season.

Barcelona are the odds on favourites to qualify for the semi finals but Juventus are full of confidence which sets the first leg up perfectly.

Barcelona celebrate winning the 2015 Champions League final against Juventus.

Barcelona celebrate winning the 2015 Champions League final against Juventus.

Juventus v Barcelona Outright Betting Market

Juventus 13/8 (Sportingbet)

Barcelona 15/8 (Coral)

Draw 23/10 (Ladbrokes)

Barcelona’s price in the Outright Betting market has lengthened following that defeat against Malaga. That the market reacted in that way is understandable but it’s less clear why Juventus weren’t the firm favourites earlier on.

Barcelona broke records and Parisian hearts with their incredible comeback against PSG to set up the tie against Juventus but the fact they got themselves in such a pickle in the first leg at the Parc des Princes is surely a worry.

Luis Enrique’s side were simply not at the races in that match, conceding four goals. Their chances of improving defensively against Juventus have not been improved with Sergio Busquets’ suspension. His absence in the heart of the Barca midfield could allow the likes of Miralem Pjanic and Sami Khedira to control large parts of the game and any team will struggle against Juventus in full flow.

Max Allegri knows the importance of maximising the first leg at the Juventus Stadium where they are so strong. Obviously, Barcelona’s attacking threat means they can grab a goal at any time but Juventus’ home form makes them look the rightful favourites at 13/8 with Sportingbet.

 

Correct Score Market

Draw 1-1 @ 6/1 (William Hill)

Juventus 1-0 @ 8/1 (Paddy Power)

Barcelona 1-0 @ 9/1 (Paddy Power)

Draw 0-0 @ 9/1 (Bet365)

Juventus 2-1 @ 9/1 (Betfred)

Barcelona 2-1 @ 10/1 (Paddy Power)

Juventus should go on to win the game but it’s unlikely that Barcelona will be thrashed like they were that night in Paris in February. They may find it tough to get on the ball as much as they’re accustomed to but with Lionel Messi, Neymar and Luis Suarez up front, Barca should at least grab an away goal to make their task that little bit easier for the return leg at the Camp Nou.

That’s something to keep very much at the front of your mind if you’re considering a play in the Correct Score market.

The 9/1 that Betfred are quoting about Juventus winning 2-1 looks like a solid option but it could be worth taking a little extra risk. A little further down the Correct Score market you’ll find Paddy Power quoting 25/1 on a 3-1 win to the home side. Given that Juve are fancied to make the most of their home game and that Barcelona are far from their best despite their world class players, that looks a very tempting price.

 

First Goalscorer

Gonzalo Higuain 4/1 (Coral)

Lionel Messi 4/1 (Ladbrokes)

Luis Suarez 9/2 (William Hill)

Paulo Dybala 6/1 (Coral)

Mario Mandzukic 13/2 (Betfair)

Paco Alcacer 7/1 (Betfair)

Miralem Pjanic 15/2 (Paddy Power)

Neymar 15/2 (William Hill)

You can tell we’re in the closing stages of the Champions League simply by having a look at the various First Goalscorer markets. The options for Tuesday’s game in Italy, however, are better than most.

There are world class goalscorers everywhere you look in betting and it’s no easy task to pick the man to score first. For Barcelona, Messi, Neymar and Suarez are each capable of scoring goals out of nothing but when they work together they become even more than the sum of their parts.

However, given we’re tipping Juventus to get the win, it makes sense to bet on one of their players to open the scoring. Clearly, Gonzalo Higuain would love to score first given his ties to Real Madrid but the value bet looks to be Paulo Dybala at 6/1 with Coral.

Paulo Dybala is improving all the time and is now a genuine world class striker.

Paulo Dybala is improving all the time and is now a genuine world class striker.

The versatile Argentine can play up front or behind the main striker and he’s deadly wherever Allegri decides to play him. Dybala’s movement, dribbling prowess and top class finishing will make it very tough for the Barcelona defence to get a handle on him.

 

Betting Recommendations

Juventus to win at 13/8 with Sportingbet

Paulo Dybala to score first at 6/1 with Coral