Newmarket July Meeting 2017 Betting Tips + Preview
Read our betting tips for the Newmarket July Meeting. …Read More
The To Qualify market sets the scene nicely for Tuesday’s match between Arsenal and Bayern Munich. The German side are as short as 1/300 with some bookies to make it through to the quarter-finals of the Champions League which highlights the size of the task facing Arsenal.
Bayern’s position of strength comes thanks to their thumping 5-1 win in the first leg at the Allianz Arena. Arsenal actually had a fair share of the game initially and went into the break with the score at 1-1 thanks to Alexis Sanchez’s clever finish.
However, the home side showed their attacking class later on, scoring three goals in 10 second half minutes before Thomas Muller effectively ended the tie as a contest with a late fifth.
Although the odds, stats and common sense indicate that Arsenal have no chance of qualifying for the quarter-finals for the first time since 2010, there is some historical precedent to give them hope (no matter how faint). Real Madrid overcame a 5-1 first leg defeat to qualify against Borussia Monchengladbach in the UEFA Cup in the mid 1980s and there have been numerous big comebacks in Champions League history.
But, do Arsene Wenger’s team have what it takes to add themselves to that list?
Bayern Munich 5/4 (Ladbrokes)
Arsenal 21/10 (Bet365)
Draw 13/5 (William Hill)
We’ve already seen that the bookies have all but written off Arsenal’s chances of qualifying but they’ve also seen fit to make Bayern Munich the favourites in the betting. The 5/4 that Ladbrokes are quoting is as good as you’ll get on Carlo Ancelotti’s team and you have think that’s decent value.
There’s no doubt that Arsenal have some top quality players in their ranks but they do struggle to raise their performances for the toughest games. The Gunners failed to beat PSG in the Champions League group stage and have only beaten one of the Premier League’s top seven sides this season.
On top of worries about Arsenal’s ability to beat this calibre of opponent, Bayern are in tip top shape right now. The Bavarians are unbeaten in all competitions since the 23rd of November, winning all but two of their last 19 matches. Ancelotti’s charges have more than enough about them to qualify in style with victory at the Emirates.
Draw 1-1 @ 15/2 (Paddy Power)
Bayern Munich 2-1 @ 8/1 (Boylesports)
Arsenal 2-1 @ 10/1 (Betfair)
Draw 2-2 @ 11/1 (Paddy Power)
Bayern Munich 1-0 @ 12/1 (William Hill)
Arsenal 1-0 @ 14/1 (Bet365)
One of the most persistent criticisms of Arsenal over the last decade or so is that they lack the fight and steely determination of Wenger’s early teams. There is certainly something to be said for the argument that there are few, if any, leaders in the squad and that they surrender far too easily at times.
However, there is no chance that the Gunners are simply going to roll over and have their bellies tickled by Bayern Munich. For one, the Emirates faithful will demand an upturn in performance levels following recent disappointing results. Arsenal are going to find it incredibly tough to avoid defeat on Tuesday night but they should at least get on the score sheet.
From a betting perspective, that provides us with a few options. You could bet on both teams to score at 1/2 with Paddy Power, you could back over 2.5 goals at 8/15 with Sky Bet or you could head to the Correct Score market for a chance at a bigger win.
Bayern Munich to win 2-1 looks tempting enough at 8/1 but it could be worth taking a little extra risk and plumping for or a 3-2 away win which is 20/1 with Bet365.
Robert Lewandowski 3/1 (Betfair)
Alexis Sanchez 5/1 (William Hill)
Olivier Giroud 5/1 (Betfair)
Arjen Robben 11/2 (Sky Bet)
Thomas Muller 6/1 (Sky Bet)
Franck Ribery 13/2 (William Hill)
Arturo Vidal 7/1 (Betfair)
Danny Welbeck 7/1 (William Hill)
Arsene Wenger came in for serious criticism for his decision to rest Alexis Sanchez for Saturday’s match against Liverpool. Wenger claimed he was trying something different tactically but it was clear that he wanted to keep the Chilean fresh for the Bayern Munich match.
Sanchez himself looked thoroughly unimpressed and will be desperate to get back into the thick of the action straight from the start of Tuesday’s match. He’s been one of the few consistent performers for Arsenal and is a real fan favourite for his workrate and goalscoring prowess.
If anybody is going to get the game off to a good start for Arsenal, it’s likely to be Sanchez who is 5/1 with William Hill to be the first goalscorer at the Emirates.
Bayern Munich to win at 5/4 with Ladbrokes
Bayern Munich to win 3-2 at 20/1 with Bet365